Posted By P.J. Aroon Share

Hillary Clinton in Honduras, June 2, 2009Secretary Clinton said the situation in Honduras "has evolved into a coup," but said the U.S. government was "withholding any formal legal determination." Basically, it was a coup, but not really, she's saying.

It's a tricky situation for Clinton (seen above in Honduras on June 2). If the United States formally labels the expulsion of Manuel Zelaya as a coup, then Honduras could lose U.S. aid that is conditioned on the country's maintaining itself as a democracy. That aid includes a five-year $215 million Millennium Challenge grant and a proposed $68 million in development and military aid for 2010.

When asked about whether aid would be cut, Clinton responded:

Much of our assistance is conditioned on the integrity of the democratic system. But if we were able to get to a status quo that returned to the rule of law and constitutional order within a relatively short period of time, I think that would be a good outcome.

An even more trickier question is whether Zelaya, the ousted president, should be returned to power. When asked about it, Clinton said, "We haven't laid out any demands that we are insisting on."

It might not look so great to say Zelaya should be reinstated given that he was taking illegal steps in an attempt to stay in office. The de facto referendum he wanted was declared illegal by Honduras's Supreme Court, and it was also opposed by Honduras's Congress, nearly all political parties, the press, the business community, and electoral authorities.

Plus, the United States might not want Zelaya returned to power unconditionally. John Negroponte, former U.S. ambassador to Honduras, told the Washington Post, "I think [Clinton] wants to preserve some leverage to try and get Zelaya to back down from his insistence on a referendum."

Between Honduras, Iraq, Iran, and a broken elbow, it looks like Madame Secretary has a lot on her plate.

Photo: ORLANDO SIERRA/AFP/Getty Images

 
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STACYX

5:32 PM ET

July 2, 2009

It looks like Secretary

It looks like Secretary Clinton was able to get concessions from Zelaya- he has apparently agreed to not seek re-election and to not try to tamper with the Honduran Constitution - likely in return for continued US support of his returning to office. I'm assuming it was Clinton who pushed for this b/c of her tougher stance [than Obama] but news reports aren't naming names at this point and everyone is staying mum about admin. conversations directly with Zelaya, despite the fact that he was in NY and Washington (I think on July 1st).

 

Madam Secretary is an obsessive blog about all things Hillary Clinton. From her policies to her pantsuits, Madam Secretary delivers up-to-the-minute news, analysis, and gossip about America's top diplomat.